"Experts project Iran may cross the nuclear threshold this month, meaning Iran would have the technology and enough weapons-grade uranium to build a nuclear weapon—without actually having built one," writes LBJ student Kathleen Hillery in The Baines Report. Recently elected Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi has delayed negotiations to return to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), possibly to allow his country time to achieve threshold status. Achieving nuclear threshold status would situate Iran in the strongest position when returning to the negotiating table with the United States. Though a history of aggressive rhetoric between Israel and Iran inflames current tensions, the Israeli government will probably continue facilities sabotage operations and assassinating key nuclear program personnel to destabilize the Iranian nuclear program rather than risk outright military conflict."
Read the rest at The Baines Report
- Imminent Iranian Nuclear Capability Is Not Itself A Redline (The Baines Report, Nov. 2, 2021)
- The Baines Report