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News July 30, 2012

Re-Thinking World Power, from Shanghai to Silicon Valley

Assessing whether the US is in decline requires a better sense of what it is that is declining and compared to who or what. This revolves around the question of state power – what is it, how can it be measured, and how is it different from the past? 

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News July 30, 2012

Discretionary Decline

The US has outlasted at least five previous episodes of declinism and in the last hundred years has navigated the dangerous waters of international politics with surprising adroitness. It has bested great power rivals, helped stamp out noxious ideologies, and built enduring global institutions. It has done this without sacrificing the legitimacy of its domestic system or crippling its economy by creating a garrison state. 

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News July 30, 2012

America in Decline: Through the Looking Glass

No patriotic American would like to admit that our country is in decline, but how does the evidence stack up? Time for a quick look in the mirror America, to assess what we see.

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News July 30, 2012

Looking Backward, Planning Forward

In 1994, during a brief stint in the National Intelligence Council as director of its Analytic Group, I was involved in the first of the “Global Trends” exercises, organized by the then-chairman of the NIC, Joe Nye. (The “Global Trends 2010” report was published in early 1997 under the chairmanship of Dick Cooper.)

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News July 30, 2012

The Decline of American Education

The world has changed in many ways since the Cold War ended. The internet and mobile communication have opened up new possibilities across the world. As high-tech, high-value generating industries are no longer bound by national borders or access to restricted resources, a new world order has began to emerge. 

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News July 30, 2012

A Demographic Morning in America

When considering the question of American decline, one could point to yawning budget deficits, unaffordable entitlement programs, a creaking infrastructure or the coming ‘fiscal cliff,’ comprised of tax hikes and budget cuts, as domestic factors contributing to an American power in retreat. 

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News July 30, 2012

Prediction and the Elusive Elements of Power Decline

The implications of US power decline are great. In the Global Trends 2030 report, three scenarios about the way the world could look in 2030 are introduced. 

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News July 30, 2012

Catching the Winds of Power

In international relations, measures of power are usually relative. Depending on the measure or definition of power, however, this relativity can be quite different. This has important implications for any discussion of American decline. 

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News July 28, 2012

LBJ School faculty explore policy implications of landmark Supreme Court rulings

LBJ School faculty members delve into the greater ramifications of the recent Supreme Court rulings on the Affordable Health Care Act, immigration and mandatory life sentences for juvenile offenders. For state lawmakers and policymakers, the rulings mark just the beginning of what, in some cases, represent major, sweeping changes to state laws and policies.

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News July 27, 2012

Professor Jeremi Suri to Lead K-12 Gilder Lehrman Seminar on American Foreign Policy Since 1898

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LBJ School Professor Jeremi Suri will lead a weeklong seminar for K-12 teachers and library educators taking place on The University of Texas at Austin campus beginning July 29.

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